Disease-specific Survival In Patients Research Articles

Multi-Center Assessment of Lymph-Node Density and Nodal-Stage to Predict Disease-Specific Survival in Patients with Bladder Cancer Treated by Radical Cystectomy

BACKGROUND: Prognostic tools in pathological-node (pN) patients after radical cystectomy (RC) are needed. OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the prognostic impact of lymph node (LN)-density on disease-specific survival (DSS) in patients with bladder cancer (BC) undergoing RC with pelvic lymph node dissection. METHODS: We analyzed a multi-institutional cohort of 1169 patients treated with upfront RC for cT1-4aN0M0 urothelial BCat nine centers. LN-densitywas calculated as the ratio of the number of positive LNs×100% to the number of LNs removed. The optimal LN-density cut-off value was defined by creating a time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve in pN patients. Univariable and multivariable Cox’ regression analyses were used to assess the effect of conventional Tumor Nodes Metastasis (TNM) nodal staging system, LN-density and other LN-related variables on DSS in the pN-positive cohort. RESULTS: Of the 1169 patients, 463 (39.6%) patients had LN-involvement. The area under the ROC curve was 0.60 and the cut-off for LN-density was set at 20%, 223 of the pN-positive patients (48.2%) had a LN-density.20%. In multivariable models, the number of LN-metastases (HR 1.03, p = 0.005) and LN-density, either as continuous (HR 1.01, p = 0.013) or as categorical variable (HR 1.37, p = 0.014), were independently associated with worse DSS, whereas pN-stage was not. CONCLUSIONS: LN-density.20% was an independent predictor of worse DSS in BC patients with LN-involvement at RC. The integration of LN-density and other LN-parameters rather than only conventional pN-stage may contribute to a more refined risk-stratification in BC patients with nodal involvement.

Nomogram Predicts Prognostic Factors for Head and Neck Cutaneous Melanoma: A Population-Based Analysis

BackgroundThe head and neck cutaneous melanoma (HNCM) accounts for 20% of newly diagnosed melanoma. Research on prognostic models for their survival yet remains largely unexplored. This study employed a nomogram approach to develop and validate a predictive model for both overall survival (OS) and disease-specific survival (DSS) in patients with HNCM. MethodsThis study analyzed the HNCM patients diagnosed between 2004 and 2014 from SEER database. To identify independent prognostic factors for HNCM, we integrated results from univariate Cox regression analysis, random survival forests, and LASSO regression with cross-validation. A nomogram was designed and validated based on the identified characteristics to predict the 3-, 5-, and 8-year OS and DSS of patients with HNCM. ResultsAge, Stage, Ulceration, Thickness, Chemotherapy, LN_Metastasis, Radiation were identified as independent prognostic factors. The nomogram achieved a satisfactory performance with C-indices of 0.824(DSS) and 0.757(OS) in the training cohort and 0.827(DSS) and 0.749(OS) in the validation cohort, respectively. The AUC for the OS at 3-, 5-, and 8- years were 0.789, 0.788, and 0.794 for the training cohort, and 0.778, 0.776, and 0.795 for the validation cohort, respectively. For DSS, the AUC at 3-, 5-, and 8- years were 0.859, 0.842, and 0.828 in the training cohort, and 0.864, 0.844, and 0.834 in the validation cohort, respectively. The calibration curve showed that there was a strong correlation between the observed outcomes and the predicted survival probability. ConclusionThis study established and validated predictive nomograms for HNCM patients with robust predictive performance.

ASO Author Reflections: Extent of Resection Not Associated with Disease-Specific Survival in Patients with Localized Mucinous Adenocarcinoma of the Appendix.

ASO Author Reflections: Extent of Resection Not Associated with Disease-Specific Survival in Patients with Localized Mucinous Adenocarcinoma of the Appendix.

Abstract LB207: C5ar1 is a novel biomarker and potential therapeutic target in advanced cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma

Abstract Cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma (cSCC) is the most common metastatic skin cancer and the metastatic disease is associated with poor prognosis. At present, there are no established molecular markers to predict the metastasis risk and prognosis of patients with primary cSCC. Recently, the role of specific complement components in the progression of cSCC has been shown. Here, we have examined the role of complement C5a receptor C5aR1 in the progression and metastasis of cSCC. The results show that the expression of C5aR1 is increased in cSCC cells in 3D spheroid coculture model in the presence of fibroblasts and that treatment with recombinant C5a increases invasion of cSCC cells in this model. Staining for C5aR1 was detected on the surface of tumor cells in the invasive edge of human cSCC xenograft tumors in vivo. Staining of metastatic and non-metastatic primary human cSCCs, premalignant epidermal lesions and normal skin for C5aR1 with multiplexed fluorescence and chromogenic immunohistochemistry revealed stronger expression of C5aR1 on surface of cSCC tumor cells compared to epidermal cells in cSCC in situ, actinic keratosis and normal skin. Increased expression of C5aR1 on tumor cell surface was associated with the metastasis risk of primary cSCCs and independently predicted poor disease-specific survival of patients with primary cSCC. These results reveal the role of C5aR1 in cSCC progression and identify C5aR1 as a novel biomarker for metastasis risk and poor prognosis of patients with cSCC. The results also suggest C5aR1 as a novel therapeutic target for treatment of locally advanced and metastatic cSCC. Citation Format: Lauri Heiskanen, Liisa Nissinen, Elina Siljamäki, Jaakko Knuutila, Teijo Pellinen, Markku Kallajoki, Jyrki Heino, Pilvi Riihilä, Veli-Matti Kähäri. C5ar1 is a novel biomarker and potential therapeutic target in advanced cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2024; Part 2 (Late-Breaking, Clinical Trial, and Invited Abstracts); 2024 Apr 5-10; San Diego, CA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2024;84(7_Suppl):Abstract nr LB207.

Preoperative Serum Selenium Concentrations and Disease-Specific Survival in Patients With Oral Cancer: A Long-Term Follow-Up Study

BackgroundSerum selenium (Se) concentration has been reported to be associated with the incidence of oral cancer. The association between serum Se and long-term survival in oral cancer patients is still unclear. PurposeThe purpose of this study is to measure the association between serum Se and disease-specific survival (DSS). Study design, setting, and sampleThis was a single-center, prospective cohort study conducted at the First Affiliated Hospital of Fujian Medical University (Fujian province, China) from September 2011 to December 2018. The inclusion criteria were patients with newly diagnosed primary oral cancer confirmed by histology. The exclusion criteria were patients with recurrent oral cancer or metastatic cancer. Predictor VariableThe predictor variable is the preoperative serum Se concentration measured using inductively coupled plasma-mass spectrometry (ICP-MS). Outcome VariablesThe primary outcome variable is DSS calculated from the date of diagnosis to date of death due to oral cancer or end of follow-up, whichever occurred first. CovariatesThe covariates were age, sex, occupation, education level, BMI, surgery therapy, adjuvant therapy, TNM stage, pathological grading. AnalysesKaplan-Meier survival analysis, Cox proportional hazards regression and restricted cubic spline regression were utilized. P-value < 0.05 was significant. ResultsThe sample was composed of 235 subjects with a median age of 59 years (ranged from 20 to 80 years) and 142 (60.43%) were male. The median follow-up was 54.90 months (interquartile range: 35.47). Se levels were associated with DSS (unadjusted HR=0.70, 95% CI: 0.54-0.91) suggesting that higher levels of Se are associated with longer or improved DSS. After adjustment of age, sex, occupation, education level, residence, TNM stage, pathological grading, surgery therapy, radiotherapy and chemotherapy, patients with higher serum Se had a better DSS (aHR=0.67, 95% CI: 0.49-0.92). Of note, we found that the association between serum Se and DSS was observed only in patients with radiotherapy (aHR= 0.49, 95% CI: 0.33-0.73). And the protective effect of radiotherapy on survival was only observed in patients with higher Se concentrations (aHR=0.36, 95% CI: 0.20-0.63). Additionally, there was a multiplicative interaction between Se and radiotherapy on the prognosis of oral cancer patients (Pinteraction<0.01). Conclusion and RelevanceOur findings suggest that a high Se concentration might contribute to better DSS among oral cancer patients, and the effect may partly depend on radiotherapy treatment. Given these findings, additional research should focus on the role of Se in DSS among oral cancer patients and the interaction with radiotherapy.

Abstract 6262: Optimal cut-off age for AJCC staging system in Middle Eastern patients with differentiated thyroid cancer

Abstract Background: Differentiated Thyroid Cancer (DTC) has an indolent nature and generally has favorable prognosis. AJCC TNM classification is the most adopted system to evaluate the biological behavior of DTC. Age cut-off of 55 years has been included in the eighth edition of TNM staging system since it led to better prediction of disease specific survival (DSS) of patients with DTC. However, optimal age cut-off in DTC patients from Middle Eastern ethnicity has not been fully explored. We evaluated the optimal age cut-off for the TNM staging system to predict DSS in Middle Eastern patients with DTC. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed a large cohort of 1721 adult DTC patients who underwent surgery between 1990 to 2018. The optimal age cut-off value was determined using several age cut-offs (between 20 and 85 years) to assess DSS. Harrel’s C-Index, Akaike information criterion (AIC) and Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC) were used to assess the statistical model performance of the TNM staging system (eighth edition), with different age cut-offs for prediction of DSS. The proportion of variation explained (PVE) was also calculated to compare predictability of DSS in patients with DTC. Results: The median age of patients at diagnosis was 39.9 years (IQR 31.0 - 51.7 years) and 75.5% (1299/1721) were female. Median follow up was 9.3 years and 10 years DSS was 97.1%. For DTC overall, an age cut-off of 50 years had the best statistical model performance. On receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, the optimal age cut-off for prediction of DSS was 50.5 years (area under the curve = 0.872, p &amp;lt; 0.0001). Conclusion: In this large cohort of Middle Eastern DTC patients, an age cut-off of 50 years was more appropriate for TNM staging to achieve better predictability for DSS. Therefore, implementation of different age cut-off for DTC in Middle Eastern patients could improve the predictive value for TNM staging system, and allow for better therapeutic and surveillance approach for these patients. Citation Format: Sandeep K. Parvathareddy, Abdul K. Siraj, Padmanaban Annaiyappanaidu, Saeeda O. Ahmed, Nabil Siraj, Zeeshan Qadri, Saud Azam, Khawla S. Al-Kuraya. Optimal cut-off age for AJCC staging system in Middle Eastern patients with differentiated thyroid cancer [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2024; Part 1 (Regular Abstracts); 2024 Apr 5-10; San Diego, CA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2024;84(6_Suppl):Abstract nr 6262.

Epidemiology and Prognostic Nomogram for Predicting Long-Term Disease-Specific Survival in Patients With Pancreatic Carcinoid Tumor: A SEER-Based Study.

Pancreatic carcinoid tumor (PCT) is described as a malignant form of carcinoid tumors. However, the epidemiology and prognostic factors for PCT are poorly understood. The data of 2447 PCT patients were included in this study from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database and randomly divided into a training cohort (1959) and a validation cohort (488). The epidemiology of PCT was calculated, and independent prognostic factors were identified to construct a prognostic nomogram for predicting long-term disease-specific survival (DSS) among PCT patients. The incidence of PCT increased remarkably from 2000 to 2018. The 1-, 5-, and 10-year DSS rates were 96.4%, 90.3%, and 86.5%, respectively. Age at diagnosis, stage, surgery, radiotherapy, and chemotherapy were identified as independent prognostic factors to construct a prognostic nomogram. The C-indices; area under the receiver operating characteristic curves for predicting 1-, 5-, and 10-year DSS, and calibration plots of the nomogram in both cohorts indicated a high discriminatory accuracy, preferable survival predictive ability, and optimal concordances, respectively. The incidence of PCT has increased rapidly since 2000. In addition, we established a practical, effective, and accurate prognostic nomogram for predicting the long-term DSS of PCT patients.

Neoplasia-related and treatment-induced lymphopenia: impact on the outcome of chemoradiotherapy in laryngeal cancer

Introduction The role of the immune system in the efficacy of radiotherapy (RT) has been well established. We examined the role of neoplasia-related and treatment-induced lymphopenia in the outcome of RT or chemoradiotherapy (CRT) in squamous cell laryngeal cancer. Materials and Methods We retrospectively analyzed a series of 135 laryngeal carcinomas treated with radical or postoperative RT/CRT. Six lymphocyte-related variables were defined and examined: i. lymphocyte counts (LCs) before a brief course of induction chemotherapy, ii. pre-RT LCs, iii. post-RT LCs, iv. pre-RT neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio (N/L), v. pre-RT monocyte/lymphocyte ratio (M/L), and vi. pre-RT platelet/lymphocyte ratio (Pt/L). Results RT and CRT resulted in a significant decrease of LCs at the end of therapy, and this was significantly more prominent in patients treated with radical intent and neck irradiation (median LC nadir 810/μl vs. 1250/μl; p = .0003). Induction chemotherapy did not intensify the lymphotoxic effect of RT. LCs lower than the 33rd percentile before RT (<1718/μl) and after RT (<720/μl) were significantly linked to poor locoregional progression-free survival (LRFS; p = .02 and p = .08, respectively) and disease-specific overall survival (OS; p = .02 and p = .03, respectively). This was also confirmed multivariate analysis (LRFS: p = .006/HR = 2.41 and p = .08/HR = 1.76, respectively; OS: p = .001/HR = 3.06 and p = .02/HR = 2.07, respectively). High pre-RT N/L, M/L, and Pt/L ratios were also of ominous prognostic relevance. Conclusions Both neoplasia-related and RT-induced lymphopenia define the outcome of RT in terms of locoregional failure, incidence of metastasis, and, finally, disease-specific survival of patients with laryngeal cancer. Restoration of pre-RT lymphopenia and protection of peripheral lymphocytes during RT emerge as critical issues that demand therapeutic interventions to maximize the efficacy of RT/CRT in patients with laryngeal cancer.

Development and validation of a novel prognostic model for disease-specific survival in patients with non-metastatic small cell carcinoma of the bladder.

695 Background: Small cell carcinoma of the bladder (SCCB) is a rare variant of bladder cancer with limited data informing prognosis. We present a novel prognostic model for disease specific survival (DSS) for patients with non-metastatic (M0) SCCB, derived from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database. Methods: The SEER database (18 registries/November 2020) was queried with the ICD-10 topography codes C67.0-C67.9 (bladder), and the morphologic code 8041 (SCCB). Eligible patients (adults, histologic confirmation, available follow-up/staging data, M0) were randomly divided into a training (TC) and a validation cohort (VC) (7:3 ratio). Variables significantly associated with DSS were identified with multivariate Cox regression and backwards stepwise conditional approach and inserted in the model. Points were assigned to each variable based on the formula: Probability of an event at time t=S0(t)exp(β1x1, β2x2...), (β = regression coefficients, x = observed covariate values, S0(t) = survival function). Cumulative risk points were assigned to each patient and three distinct risk categories for DSS were constructed. Harrel’s C-statistic with bootstrap resampling was used for internal (TC) and external (VC) validation. Model performance was compared to the AJCC 8th edition (likelihood ratio test -LRT). Results: A total of 1039 patients were included (739 TC, 300 VC). No statistically significant differences in baseline characteristics/survival outcomes were identified between TC and VC. Age (years), T/N stage, radical cystectomy, chemotherapy, and radiation were significant variables inserted in the multivariate model (table). Patients were stratified to three risk groups (low, intermediate, high) based on the total cumulative risk points collected. Median DSS was NR (95%CI; NR, NR), 25 (95% CI; 18-32) and 9 months (95% CI; 7-11) for the low, intermediate, and high-risk category, log-rank p&lt;.001. Harrel's C-statistic for the model was 0.70 (95%CI;0.67-0.73) in the TC and 0.66 (95%CI; 0.61-0.71) in the VC. In comparison, C-statistic for the AJCC 8th edition was 0.56 (95% CI; 0.52-0.59) and 0.53 (95% CI; 0.51 to 0.57), respectively. The LRT demonstrated superior performance of the model compared to AJCC (p&lt;.001). Conclusions: We present a novel prognostic model for DSS in patients with locoregional SCCB composed of variables readily available in daily practice, which may serve as a useful tool for individualized risk assessment of patients with this rare malignancy. Further validation in prospective studies/clinical trials is warranted. [Table: see text]

Radiosensitizing Favors Response to Peptide Receptor Radionuclide Therapy in Patients With Highly Proliferative Neuroendocrine Malignancies: Preliminary Evidence From a Clinical Pilot Study.

Peptide receptor radionuclide therapy (PRRT) represents a cornerstone of treatment regimens for patients with low proliferative neuroendocrine tumors (NETs). However, in patients experiencing somatostatin receptor-positive NET with higher proliferation rates, a value and potential therapeutic benefit of PRRT as part of multimodal treatment approaches and potentially with addition of radiosensitizing agents has not yet been established. In this study, 20 patients with histologically confirmed gastroenteropancreatic (GEP) NET with proliferation rates (Ki67) between 15% and 55% were treated either with PRRT only (n = 10) or with a combination therapy (n = 10) comprising PRRT and capecitabine/temozolomide (CAP/TEM) for at least 2 consecutive cycles. Disease control rate in patients treated with PRRT alone was 60% (40% stable disease and 20% partial response). Strikingly, in patients treated with PRRT in combination with radiosensitization (CAP/TEM), the disease control rate was 90% (20% stable disease and 70% partial response). The median progression-free survival in the PRRT only group was 12 months, whereas the median progression-free survival in the PRRT + CAP/TEM group was 26 months and has not been yet reached for all patients in the group during the observation period. The median disease-specific survival for patients with PRRT alone was 51 months, whereas this end point was not yet reached in the PRRT + CAP/TEM group. Moreover, the PRRT + CAP/TEM group showed a significantly higher reduction of SSTR-PET-based metabolic tumor volume and chromogranin A levels compared with the PRRT only group. Importantly, adverse events of all grades did not differ between both groups. PRRT + CAP/TEM represents a highly promising and well-tolerated therapeutic regimen for patients experiencing somatostatin receptor-positive NET with higher (Ki67 ≥ 15%) proliferation rate. Prospective randomized clinical trials are warranted.

Testosterone nadir and clinical outcomes in patients with advanced prostate cancer: Post hoc analysis of triptorelin pamoate Phase III studies.

The objective of the study is to evaluate whether low nadir testosterone during treatment with triptorelin pamoate, a luteinising hormone-releasing hormone (LHRH) agonist, is associated with improved clinical outcomes in patients with advanced prostate cancer using a retrospective analysis of clinical trial data. Data were pooled from three prospective, 9-12-month Phase III studies of triptorelin monotherapy in patients with advanced prostate cancer (including NCT00751790). The serum testosterone concentration suppression targets evaluated were <0.35 nmol/L (<10 ng/dl), <0.7 nmol/L (<20 ng/dl), <1.7 nmol/L (<50 ng/dl) and ≥1.7 nmol/L. Overall survival (OS) and disease-specific survival (DSS) by testosterone suppression group were assessed by Kaplan-Meier analysis, with log-rank test. The time frame for the primary analysis was Days 1-518 (median OS follow-up 254 days [range, 29-518 days]) and for the sensitivity analyses was Days 1-262. Supplementary analyses combined the ≥0.7- to <1.7-nmol/L and ≥1.7-nmol/L groups. The sample size comprised 592 patients (most received triptorelin monotherapy; four reported concomitant androgen receptor-axis-targeted therapy). Nadir testosterones of <0.35, ≥0.35 to <0.7, ≥0.7 to <1.7 and ≥1.7 nmol/L were achieved by 96%, 3.2%, 0.34% and 0.17% of patients, respectively. Better OS with decreasing level of nadir testosterone was observed (p < 0.001) and this persisted after sensitivity/supplemental analyses (all p < 0.001). Differences in DSS with decreasing levels of nadir testosterone were not statistically significant in the primary analysis. Sensitivity/supplemental analysis showed better DSS with decreasing level of nadir testosterone (Days 1-262, p = 0.01; combined groups Days 1-518, p = 0.03; combined groups Days 1-262, p = 0.005). Low nadir testosterone achieved during treatment with the LHRH agonist triptorelin was associated with improved OS and DSS in patients with advanced prostate cancer.

Improving accuracy in nodal staging of oral cancer: Proposal of a new system

BackgroundDespite introduction of extranodal extension (ENE) into the AJCC 8th edition of oral cancer staging, previous criticisms persist, such as limited discrimination between sub-stages and doubtful prognostic value of contralateral nodal disease. The purpose of this study was to compare our novel nodal staging system, based on the number of positive nodes and ENE, to the AJCC staging system in surgically treated patients. MethodsRetrospective analysis of 4710 patients with oral squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC) treated with surgery±adjuvant therapy in 8 institutions in Australia, North America and Asia. With overall survival (OS) and disease specific survival (DSS) as endpoint, the prognostic performance of AJCC 8th and 7th editions were compared using hazard consistency, hazard discrimination, likelihood difference and balance. ResultsOur new nodal staging system (PN) a progressive and linear increase in hazard ratio (HR) from pN0 to pN3, with good separation of Kaplan Meier curves. Using the predetermined criteria for evaluation of a staging system, our proposed staging model outperformed AJCC 8th and 7th editions in prediction of OS and DSS. ConclusionPN was the lymph node staging system that provided the most accurate prediction of OS and DSS for patients in our cohort of OSCC. Additionally, it can be easily adopted, addresses the shortcomings of the existing systems and should be considered for future editions of the TNM staging system.

Recurrence-Free Survival and Disease-Specific Survival in Patients with Pancreatic Neuroendocrine Neoplasms: A Single-Center Retrospective Study of 413 Patients.

The prognosis and impact of different prognostic factors in pancreatic neuroendocrine neoplasms (pNEN) remain controversial. To investigate prognostic factors for recurrence-free survival and disease-specific survival in patients with pNEN, divided into three groups: patients undergoing surveillance (tumor size < 2 cm, group 1), patients followed after curative-intended surgery (group 2), and patients with unresectable disease or residual tumors after resection (group 3). A single-center retrospective study including consecutive patients over a 20-year period. Multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed to identify risk factors. 413 patients were included, with a mean (SD) age of 62 ± 14 years. In group 1 (n = 51), median (IQR) follow-up was 29 (21-34) months, and tumor size was 1.0 (0.8-1.4) cm. One progressed and had a tumor resection. In group 2 (n = 165), follow-up 59 (31-102) months, median tumor size 2 (1.2-3.4) cm, median Ki-67 index 5 (3-10)%, the 5-year recurrence rate was 21%. Tumor size (p < 0.001), Ki-67 index (p = 0.02), and location in the pancreatic head (p < 0.001) were independent risk factors. In group 3 (n = 197), follow-up 19 (6-46) months, median tumor size 4.2 (2.6-7.0) cm, Ki-67 index 17 (9-64)%, the median disease-specific survival was 22 (6-75) months-99 in NET G1; 54 in NET G2; 14 in NET G3; and 6 months in neuroendocrine carcinomas (NEC). Age (p = 0.029), plasma chromogranin A (p = 0.014), and proliferation, expressed by grade (p = 0.001) and Ki-67 index (p < 0.001), were risk factors. Growth in pNET < 2 cm requiring surgery was observed in 1/51. Tumor size, Ki-67 index, and location in the head were prognostic factors for disease recurrence, while age, plasma chromogranin A, and proliferation predicted mortality in patients with unresectable disease or residual tumors after resection.

Significance of 8-OHdG Expression as a Predictor of Survival in Colorectal Cancer.

The incidence of colorectal cancer (CRC) is increasing worldwide. 8-hydroxy-2'-deoxyguanosine (8-OHdG), one of the most prevalent DNA alterations, is known to be upregulated in several carcinomas; however, 8-OHdG has not been used to predict the prognosis of patients with CRC. We aimed to determine 8-OHdG levels in patients with CRC using immunohistochemistry and conducted a survival analysis according to the pathological stage. The 5-year event-free survival (EFS) and disease-specific survival (DSS) hazard ratios (HRs) of the low 8-OHdG subgroup were 1.41 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.01-1.98, p = 0.04) and 1.60 (95% CI: 1.12-2.28, p = 0.01), respectively. When tumor node metastasis (TNM) staging and 8-OHdG expression were combined, the 5-year EFS and DSS HRs of patients with CRC with low 8-OHdG expression cancer at the same TNM stage (stage Ⅲ/Ⅳ) were 1.51 (95% CI: 1.02-2.22, p = 0.04) and 1.64 (95% CI: 1.09-2.48, p = 0.02), respectively, compared to those with high 8-OHdG expression cancer, indicating a poor prognosis. Therefore, low 8-OHdG expression is a significant predictive factor for 5-year EFS and DSS in patients with CRC, and it can serve as an essential biomarker of CRC.

Development and validation of nomograms to predict survival of primary adrenal lymphoma: a population-based retrospective study

While it is known that accurate evaluation of overall survival (OS) and disease-specific survival (DSS) for patients with primary adrenal lymphoma (PAL) can affect their prognosis, no stable and effective prediction model exists. This study aimed to develop prediction models to evaluate survival. This study enrolled 5448 patients with adrenal masses from the SEER Program. The influencing factors were selected using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression model (LASSO) and Fine and Gray model (FGM). In addition, nomograms were constructed. Receiver operating characteristic curves and bootstrap self-sampling methods were used to verify the discrimination and consistency of the nomograms. The independent influencing factors for PAL survival were selected by LASSO and FGM, and three models were built: the OS, DSS, and FGS (DSS analysis by FGM) model. The areas under the curve and decision curve analyses indicated that the models were valid. This study developed survival prediction models to predict OS and DSS of patients with PAL. The FGS model was more accurate than the DSS model in the short term. Above all, these models should offer benefits to patients with PAL in terms of the treatment modality choice and survival evaluation.

Risk factors for surgical compliance and impact on the survival of patients with glioma: a population-based propensity score-matched study.

To comprehensively analyze the impact of surgical compliance on the survival of patients with glioma and to explore the factors that influence surgical compliance. Clinical data of patients with glioma between 2004 and 2018 were collected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox regression were used to analyze the effect of surgical compliance on overall survival (OS) and disease-specific survival (DSS). Multivariate Cox regression was used to select the prediction variables and construct the nomograms. The predictive power of these models was assessed using Harell's consistency index (C-index), decision curve analysis (DCA), receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, and calibration curves. Multivariate logistic regression was performed to analyze the related variables of surgical compliance, and 1:1 propensity score matching (PSM) was applied to evaluate the validity of the results of patients with favorable and poor surgical compliance. Among the 47,573 eligible glioma patients recommended for surgery, 46,380 (97.5%) were in the surgical compliance group, while 1193 (2.5%) were in the noncompliance group. Surgical compliance was an independent prognostic factor for glioma patients, as indicated by multivariate Cox regression analysis that patients with surgical compliance had worse OS (hazard ratio [HR] 1.924; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.800-2.056, p < 0.001) and DSS (HR 1.718; 95% CI 1.592-1.853, p < 0.001) in comparison to those without surgical compliance. A nomogram was developed and internally validated to be able to predict glioma prognosis. The nomogram can well predict patients' OS (C-index: 0.745) and DSS (C-index: 0.744). ROC curve, DCA curve, and calibration curve were applied to further assess the accuracy of the nomogram. Poor surgical compliance was found to be related to older age, female gender, tumor diameter, grade II or higher, poor grading, tumor location in the cerebellum and brainstem, and low household income. Surgical compliance is an independent prognostic factor for predicting the OS and DSS of patients with glioma, and good surgical compliance was significantly related to good survival.

The Prognostic Utility of the Metastatic Lymph Node Ratio and the Number of Regional Lymph Nodes Removed from Patients with Small Bowel Adenocarcinomas.

Background and Objectives: Small bowel adenocarcinomas (SBAs) are rare tumors of the gastrointestinal system. Lymph node metastasis in patients with curatively resected SBAs is associated with poor prognosis. In this study, we determined the prognostic utility of the number of removed lymph nodes and the metastatic lymph node ratio (the N ratio). Materials and Methods: The data of 97 patients who underwent curative SBA resection in nine hospitals of Turkey were retrospectively evaluated. Univariate and multivariate analyses of potentially prognostic factors including the N ratio and the numbers of regional lymph nodes removed were evaluated. Results: Univariate analysis showed that perineural and vascular invasion, metastatic lymph nodes, advanced TNM stage, and a high N ratio were significant predictors of poor survival. Multivariate analysis revealed that the N ratio was a significant independent predictor of disease-specific survival (DSS). The group with the lowest N ratio exhibited the longest disease-free survival (DFS) and DSS; these decreased significantly as the N ratio increased (both, p < 0.001). There was no significant difference in either DFS or DSS between groups with low and high numbers of dissected lymph nodes (i.e., <13 and ≥13) (both, p = 0.075). Conclusions: We found that the N ratio was independently prognostic of DSS in patients with radically resected SBAs. The N ratio is a convenient and accurate measure of the severity of lymph node metastasis.

Development and validation of a model for the prediction of disease-specific survival in patients with oral squamous cell carcinoma: based on random survival forest analysis.

To establish a model for predicting the disease-specific survival (DSS) of patients with oral squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC). Patients diagnosed with OSCC from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database were enrolled and randomly divided into development (n = 14,495) and internal validation cohort (n = 9625). Additionally, a cohort from a hospital located in Southeastern China was utilized for external validation (n = 582). TNM stage, adjuvant treatment, surgery, tumor sites, age, grade, and gender were used for RSF model construction based on the development cohort. The effectiveness of the model was confirmed through time-dependent ROC curves in different cohorts. The risk score exhibited an almost exponential increase in the hazard ratio of death due to OSCC. In development, internal, and external validation cohorts, the prognosis was significantly worse for patients in groups with higher risk scores (all log-rank P < 0.05). Based on RSF, a high-performance prediction model for OSCC prognosis was created and verified in this study.

Involvement of cutavirus in a subset of patients with cutaneous T-cell lymphoma with an unfavorable outcome

European studies suggest an association between cutavirus (CuV) and cutaneous T-cell lymphoma (CTCL); however, the worldwide prevalence of CuV in patients with CTCL and its prognostic impact remain unknown.We investigated the prevalence and viral loads of CuV DNA using biopsy specimens from the lesional skins of 141 Japanese patients with cutaneous malignancies, including 55 patients with various types of CTCL.CuV DNA was detected significantly more frequently in biopsies from patients with mycosis fungoides (MF) (38% [13/34]; the most common subtype of CTCL) than in those from patients with other cutaneous malignancies (6% [6/107]; P<0.001). The viral-load range in patients with CuV DNA-positive MF was 23-3922 copies/103 cells and 8-65 copies/μg of DNA. A phylogenetic analysis using the partial sequences of the CuV viral capsid protein 1 (VP1)/VP2 genes revealed that the CuV sequences identified here were clustered in a Japanese-specific clade distinct from that comprising CuV sequences from European patients with MF. Kaplan-Meier curves and a log-rank test showed that CuV positivity was associated with a shorter disease-specific survival in patients with MF (P = 0.031), whereas no significant difference in overall survival was observed (P = 0.275). No significant correlation was observed between CuV DNA load and survival in patients with CuV-positive MF.Our results suggest that CuV is associated with MF in a subset of Japanese patients. Large-scale prospective studies are warranted to clarify the role of CuV status, especially regarding the viral genotype, on adverse outcomes in patients with CuV-positive MF.

Prognostic factors in patients with first diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma presenting with pulmonary metastasis and construction of a clinical prediction model.

In some areas where routine screening for hepatocellular carcinoma is not available, 30% of HCC patients present with extra-hepatic metastases at the first visit. The most common metastatic organ among them is the lung. The factors influencing the prognosis of this particular subgroup are questions that deserve to be explored. We screened the patients using the SEER database. After exclusion, 989 patients with first diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma with lung metastasis were included in this study. Based on Cox regression, the random forest and stepwise methods were applied to screen out risk factors that independently affect the overall survival or disease-specific survival of HCCPM patients and construct prognostic models, respectively. The data were set as training and validation sets, and the reliability and accuracy of the models were verified in different data sets using time-dependent ROC curves with decision curves. We found that the clinical factors affecting the overall survival of HCCPM patients were age grouping, chemotherapy, AJCC T-stage, pathologic grading, and surgery. The clinical factors affecting disease-specific survival in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma pulmonary metastases were age grouping, marital status, AJCC T-stage, pathological grading, and surgery. For the OS model for the training cohort, the 6-month AUC = 0.695, 12-month AUC = 0.692, and 18-month AUC = 0.72. While the DSS model for the training cohort resulted in a 6-month AUC = 0.671, 12-month AUC = 0.671, and 18-month AUC = 0.635. In this study, we developed and validated a model of prognostic risk factors for patients with lung metastases from hepatocellular carcinoma. Our prognostic model can prospectively predict the prognostic status of patients and improve clinical efficiency.